2012年9月20日星期四

越早開戰對中國越有利



當前來說,中國的求戰心態和戰爭心理準備都遠勝日本,從軍事角度來說,增加不少勝算。

日本方面,基本上沒有意識到可能朝軍事衝突方向發展,而且厭戰、反戰情緒嚴重。

只要中國先出手,先發制人,展現了自己的意志,日本退縮的機會很大,事態不會擴大。

反之,釣魚島問題拖下去,日本情緒升溫,願意押上的籌碼更多,麻煩更大。

既然釣魚島已經無法善了,早動手好過晚動手。

9 条评论:

匿名 说...

中國先動手,中國是侵略者,美國大條道理幫手

日本先動手,日本是侵略者,美國幫手 = 幫日本侵略

匿名 说...

誰先動手誰理虧。量子先生,請不要被盲目愛國的情感蓋過理智

匿名 说...

U are crazy

匿名 说...

中國的愛國人士,在美國的資產保守估計有成千億美金。

一旦開戰,美國一定會凍結大部份資產。

為了保護愛國人士的(資產)安全,這一仗十之八九是打不成的。

匿名 说...

其實也用不著打,不比日本,中國現在可以打的牌不少。
比如,在華日商有不少人其身不正,而政府卻一直是心知肚明,卻又隻眼開隻眼閉的。只要這段期間當局加強一下執法力度,那些違法日本人真是隨手抓一大把。就像兩年前撞船事件時抓那四名違規記者一樣,不消數日,日本政府態度便會有所轉變。

cyc

匿名 说...

打就一定羸?小心好似當年北洋艦隊

量子 说...

輸贏不要緊,關鍵是能多殺一些日本鬼子。

Sun Bin 说...

u r really crazy.

1) http://sun-bin.blogspot.hk/2008/06/funny-shape-of-east-china-sea-co.html
look at this map, you would know China has already reached its goal, in that Diaoyu is now officially patrolled by China as well and cannot become a basis of EEZ for either country. That means Japan does not have any foothold on the continental shelf.

2. if u have ever played any strategy game, and you have a huge population/geography base in such a game, you would know that you will win a lot easier if u wait long enough

量子 说...

regarding point 2:

diaoyu issue is a complicated one.

three parties, mainland, taiwan, japen,

two action: negotiation or by force.

that is a 3x2 matrix.

the worst sceniro to the mainland, is taiwan negotiating with japan.

in this case, taiwan soveign entity is reaffirmed.

diaoyu itslef is no big issue.

for me, it only matters how many japs can get killed or how japan can be harmed.